In this final leg of The Checklist tour we'll be looking at the Dynamic Allocation step and touch briefly on ex-post Performance Analysis. Dynamic Allocation Essentially this involves repeating the previous 9-steps on a periodic basis (e.g. a sequence of monthly allocations) according to a

"Predicting rain doesn't count. Building arks does." Warren Buffett, The Oracle of Omaha (born 1930) In this penultimate leg of the tour we'll be visiting 2 more attractions along Via Meucci, Construction and Execution. Construction Portfolio Construction is another yuge! topic.

Today we'll be visiting 2 sites along Via Meucci, Evaluation and Attribution. Evaluation We need some way to measure the goodness of the ex-ante portfolio across the scenarios from the Aggregation step, and for this Meucci introduces the concept of a Satisfaction index. Given the distribution

"In the future, instead of striving to be right at a high cost, it will be more appropriate to be flexible and plural at a lower cost. If you cannot accurately predict the future then you must flexibly be prepared to deal with various possible futures." Edward de Bono, author and thinker

"Guessing before proving! Need I remind you that it is so that all important discoveries have been made?” Henri Poincaré, French mathematician (1854-1912) In this second leg of The Checklist tour, Estimation, we are going to make some educated guesses about the true unknown distribution of

Introduction In this mini-Meucci series of posts we'll put the 10 steps of The Checklist into practice by constructing a low volatility portfolio in Python. This toy/basic example will be a short tourist trip, highlighting key attractions that you can then explore further... Of course, these

Last week I organised for Attilio Meucci to give a webinar to members of CFA Singapore and NUS Risk Management Institute on an Introduction to “The Checklist” – Ten Steps for Advanced Risk and Portfolio Management. It served the dual-purpose of a professional development talk and marketing of

I have signed up for Attilio Meucci’s ARPM Bootcamp next month (July 13-18) in NYC http://www.symmys.com/arpm-bootcamp, and need to do quite a bit of prep as it’s going to be a deep-dive… The Advanced Risk and Portfolio Management Bootcamp provides in-depth understanding of buy-side modeling

Another hotly anticipated FOMC meeting kicks off next week, so I thought it would be timely to highlight a less well-known working paper, “Stock Returns over the FOMC Cycle”, by Cieslak, Morse and Vissing-Jorgensen (current draft June 2014). Its main result is: Over the last 20 years, the

In the February 2015 edition of The Journal of Finance, a well known academic paper, “The Pre-FOMC Announcement Drift”, was finally published, almost 4 years after the working paper was released in the public domain in 2011. Authored by researchers, Lucca and Moench, at the US Federal Reserve,