Quant Mashup - Factor Investor
Quantocracy is now on Bluesky and Threads. See the links in the header. - Mike
Where is the Value? [Factor Investor]
Investors always want to know what’s cheap—cheap relative to the opportunity set and relative to history. Cheapness could refer to any number of things—price relative to trailing twelve months earnings, to trailing earnings over multiple years, to analyst earnings estimates, to long-run
- 5 years ago, 30 Jan 2019, 03:15am -
Conviction, evidence, and accepting ignorance [Factor Investor]
Countless studies have demonstrated that incorporating feedback loops into life is beneficial. Want to improve at work; seek a mentor. Want to nix that slice; get a swing coach. Want to get in shape; find a trainer. Want to become a better surgeon; get a coach. When left to our own designs,
- 6 years ago, 25 Jul 2018, 07:20am -
False Promises: Going Passive is Not Momentum Investing [Factor Investor]
There is some popular marketing spin going around that indexing—constructing portfolios based on market-cap weights—is effective because it allows an investor to own more of companies that have been successful and appreciated, while moving away from losers that have been unsuccessful and
- 6 years ago, 14 Jun 2018, 10:36pm -
Dimensions of Return [Factor Investor]
There are three universal dimensions of return that drive the performance of all strategies—regardless of investment style or asset class: consistency, magnitude, and conviction. These dimensions serve as levers that can increase or decrease performance of any strategy. They also provide context
- 6 years ago, 23 May 2018, 07:53am -
When Breaking up is Easy To Do [Factor Investor]
This post is a bit of an experiment. My good friend Steven Wood and I started discussing some collaborations a few months ago. We hope that it ups the quality of our research and also brings some new insights into each of our philosophies. Below is his recent post, for which I helped provide some
- 6 years ago, 4 Apr 2018, 10:42pm -
What’s Cheap? A Factor Perspective [Factor Investor]
There are a hundred ways to evaluate whether an investment is cheap--discounted cash flows, competitor multiples, mean reversion, multiple of projected earnings--the list goes on...and on. To each his own on what is the "best" valuation methodology, but suffice it to say that the
- 6 years ago, 23 Mar 2018, 09:10am -
Investing Outside the U.S. - Purgatory for Pessimists [Factor Investor]
The current equity bull market has not been kind to non-U.S. allocations. At a recent conference I attended, the term ‘TINA: there is no alternative’ came up more than once in the context of allocating investor portfolios. It captures the collective sentiment that equities, despite a massive
- 7 years ago, 14 Nov 2017, 09:42pm -
A Returns-based Approach: Incorporating Microcap in Equity Allocations [Factor Investor]
We are often asked how much of a plan’s assets should be allocated to microcap equities. As long-term investors that view the opportunity set through the lens of factors, our answer is usually some version of "probably more than you currently do." Microcap is a very challenging asset
- 7 years ago, 11 Oct 2017, 02:10pm -
Micro Caps, Factor Spreads, Structural Biases, and the Institutional Imperative [Factor Investor]
So far in this series, we’ve covered faulty benchmark construction, the wide array of fundamental drivers, and the critical importance of quality in cutting through the noise among micro cap stocks. Now, we turn to the largest factor spreads I’ve come across in any segment of the market, real
- 7 years ago, 29 Jul 2017, 11:08am -
Five points of caution for dividend investors [Factor Investor]
At a time when demand for income generating assets is at an all-time high, the yields on income generating assets are at, or near, all-time lows. While the headlines often speak to the number of Baby Boomers entering retirement, the more important statistic is actually the amount of wealth entering
- 8 years ago, 10 Nov 2016, 09:01pm -
The illusion of choice in ETF's [Factor Investor]
A search for all equity ETF's available to U.S. investors in Bloomberg leads to a list of 969 candidates, a surprisingly large number of options for a relatively new investment vehicle. Given that most focus on large capitalization stocks here in the U.S. (not all, but most), this means that
- 8 years ago, 13 Oct 2016, 09:18pm -
A Factor Investor’s Perspective of the Economic Cycle [Factor Investor]
Debates abound on the relative importance of the economic cycle to investment success. Peter Lynch famously said, "If you spend more than 13 minutes analyzing economic and market forecasts, you've wasted 10 minutes.” On the flip side, macro investment houses have constructed intricate
- 8 years ago, 2 Jun 2016, 10:26am -
52 Pick-Up and factor investing [Factor Investor]
Remember 52 Pick-Up? A dubious sibling, usually older, would ask if you wanted to play a game while holding a deck of cards. Emphatically, you agree, only to be showered with the deck of playing cards and told to pick them up. Wikipedia in its infinite wisdom defines 52 pick up as "a game of
- 8 years ago, 14 May 2016, 08:24am -
Minimum volatility: what's in a name? [Factor Investor]
Mad Men watchers may recognize the name Bernbach from the quote above. Bernbach is referred to in the second season as the innovative competitor firm that challenges Sterling Cooper's orthodoxy. Bill Bernbach was the brain behind several successful campaigns, including Avis' We Try Harder
- 8 years ago, 22 Apr 2016, 02:52pm -
Volatility is a value factor [Factor Investor]
In my previous post, I looked at the historical performance of investing in low volatility stocks and identified that outperformance from the factor tends not to be very consistent over time, but is instead clustered. That raised some questions on whether volatility is a true investment factor, or
- 8 years ago, 12 Apr 2016, 01:34pm -
Snake Oil and Low Volatility Investing [Factor Investor]
It is estimated that 180,000 Chinese immigrated to the United States in the latter half of the 19th century; many of them worked on the Transcontinental Railroad. Deeply routed in Chinese culture, the immigrants brought with them various medicinal remedies for common ailments. It was believed that
- 8 years ago, 4 Apr 2016, 01:16pm -
Out Over Your Skis: How to Identify a Growth Trap [Factor Investor]
When I learned how to ski, my teacher thought trial by fire would be a good, if not entertaining, way to teach me. Somehow, that day I managed to find the small creek on the side of the slope, spent about 30 minutes under a chairlift searching for my yard-saled skis and poles, and managed to stop
- 8 years ago, 14 Mar 2016, 02:14pm -