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Quantocracy’s Daily Wrap for 10/02/2018

This is a summary of links featured on Quantocracy on Tuesday, 10/02/2018. To see our most recent links, visit the Quant Mashup. Read on readers!

  • When Diversification Fails [Alpha Architect]

    The paper investigates the following research question: Are left-tail vs. right-tail correlations symmetric for the majority of risky assets (including size and styles)? Is left-tail vs. right-tail correlations between stocks and hedge funds styles symmetric? Is left-tail vs. right-tail correlations between stocks and private assets 8direct real estate and private equity) symmetric? Is left-tail

Quantocracy’s Daily Wrap for 10/01/2018

This is a summary of links featured on Quantocracy on Monday, 10/01/2018. To see our most recent links, visit the Quant Mashup. Read on readers!

  • Measuring Risk Tolerance [Flirting with Models]

    Risk tolerance, capacity, and need all factor into determining whether a portfolio is appropriate for an investor. Capacity and need are generally straightforward to quantify and map to an appropriate portfolio, but risk tolerance is more difficult, with many questionnaires potentially oversimplifying the process of mapping an investor into a portfolio. Companies like Riskalyze have striven to
  • Factor Olympics Q3 2018 [Factor Research]

    Global factor performance in the first three quarters of 2018 is comparable to 2017 However, regional factor performance diverges, reflecting changes in monetary and trade policies Low Volatility leads and Value lags INTRODUCTION We present the performance of seven well-known factors on an annual basis for the last 10 years and the first three quarters of 2018. It is worth mentioning that not all

Quantocracy’s Daily Wrap for 09/30/2018

This is a summary of links featured on Quantocracy on Sunday, 09/30/2018. To see our most recent links, visit the Quant Mashup. Read on readers!

  • Tactical Asset Allocation in September [Allocate Smartly]

    This is a summary of the recent performance of a wide range of excellent tactical asset allocation strategies, net of transaction costs. These strategies are sourced from books, academic papers, and other publications. While we dont (yet) include every published TAA model, these strategies are broadly representative of the TAA space. Learn more about what we do or let AllocateSmartly help you
  • How lazy trading explains FX market puzzles [SR SV]

    Not all market participants respond to changing conditions instantaneously, not even in the FX market. Private investors in particular can take a long while to adapt to changes in global interest rate conditions and even institutional investors may be constrained by rules and lengthy process. A theoretical paper shows that delayed trading goes a long way in explaining many empirical puzzles in

Quantocracy’s Daily Wrap for 09/28/2018

This is a summary of links featured on Quantocracy on Friday, 09/28/2018. To see our most recent links, visit the Quant Mashup. Read on readers!

  • Bitcoin Seasonality: Fooled by Randomness [Quant Fiction]

    Autumn is my favorite time of year. Football (and more importantly as a Bills fan, fantasy football) is back, everything tastes like pumpkin, and I dont get sweaty walking around outside. Its also the start of the cryptocurrency bull season! Or is it? Lets find out. Its already started: Twitter gurus posting that the coming months are the most bullish for Bitcoin. Many still remember
  • Value at Risk or Expected Shortfall [Quant Dare]

    Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall are related to the risk taken by a portfolio but Which one is the best? Lets learn together the differences between these two measures. Risk measures Coherence is really important when defining a risk measurement. If the measure is not coherent, it will not give us adequate information about the risk of our portfolio. For that reason, there are four

Quantocracy’s Daily Wrap for 09/25/2018

This is a summary of links featured on Quantocracy on Tuesday, 09/25/2018. To see our most recent links, visit the Quant Mashup. Read on readers!

  • Value and Momentum and Risk [Alpha Architect]

    Early in the summer, I was on a podcast with Corey Hoffstein discussing momentum investing. During the discussion, Corey asked me a question regarding risk versus mispricing, specific to the momentum anomaly. We frequently cite the behavioral explanation for momentuminvestors tend to underreact to new informationwhereby winning stocks do not go up by as much as they should, given the new
  • Portfolio Optimization and the Sharpe Multiplier [Invest ReSolve]

    Weve spent a great deal of time in past articles discussing the merits of portfolio optimization. In this article we will examine the merits and challenges of portfolio optimization in the context of one of the most challenging investment universes: Managed Futures. Futures exhibit several features that make them challenging from a portfolio optimization perspective. In particular, there can be

Quantocracy’s Daily Wrap for 09/24/2018

This is a summary of links featured on Quantocracy on Monday, 09/24/2018. To see our most recent links, visit the Quant Mashup. Read on readers!

  • Decomposing Trend Equity [Flirting with Models]

    We introduce the simple arithmetic of portfolio construction where a strategy can be broken into a strategic allocation and a self-financing trading strategy. For long/flat trend equity strategies, we introduce two potential decompositions. The first implementation is similar to equity exposure with a put option overlay. The second is similar to a 50% equity / 50% cash allocation with a 50%
  • Liquid Alternatives: Alternative Enough? [Factor Research]

    Liquid alternatives offer hedge fund strategies in mutual fund format The correlations to the S&P 500 have been high, even of market neutral funds Diversification benefits have therefore been limited DISRUPTING THE HEDGE FUND INDUSTRY Liquid alternatives have been heralded as hedge funds for Main Street as these investment vehicles offer typical hedge fund strategies in mutual fund format with

Quantocracy’s Daily Wrap for 09/22/2018

This is a summary of links featured on Quantocracy on Saturday, 09/22/2018. To see our most recent links, visit the Quant Mashup. Read on readers!

  • Listening to the Short Sellers [Alpha Scientist]

    To most investors, short selling is a shadowy, mysterious corner of the markets. Many do not make use of shorting – and I suspect a majority don't understand how to glean insights from trends in short selling activity. Over the past several years, I've traded short about as often as long and have consequently learned a great deal about the subtle differences between the long and short
  • A brief history of quantitative equity strategies [SR SV]

    Understanding quantitative equity investments means understanding a significant portion of market positions. Motivated by the apparent failure of the capital asset pricing model and the efficient market hypothesis, a large share of equity investors follows stylized factors that are expected to outperform the market portfolio in the long run. Yet, popularity and past performance of such

Quantocracy’s Daily Wrap for 09/21/2018

This is a summary of links featured on Quantocracy on Friday, 09/21/2018. To see our most recent links, visit the Quant Mashup. Read on readers!

  • Research Review | 21 September 2018 | Volatility [Capital Spectator]

    Hedging With Volatility Mario Alagoa (Sacred Heart University) May 9, 2018 A risk-averse investor with a long equity position is presumably interested in identifying a hedging strategy that protects the value of that investment. The common approach encompasses using either financial derivatives or holding assets (such as gold or Swiss francs) as portfolio hedges as they show negative correlation
  • Video Digest: A Trend Equity Primer [Flirting with Models]

  • Alpha Architect Weekly Research Recap (Jack & Ryan) [Alpha Architect]

    You can watch the video via the link below: Video Summary Ryan and I discuss three articles published on our blog this week. First, we examine a paper by Linda Zhang investigating the volatility of leveraged ETFs. Second, we discuss an article (and corresponding video and PPT slides from Wes) examining stock momentum strategies. The talk is titled Momentum Investing, Simple, but not Easy.

Quantocracy’s Daily Wrap for 09/20/2018

This is a summary of links featured on Quantocracy on Thursday, 09/20/2018. To see our most recent links, visit the Quant Mashup. Read on readers!

  • Market Timing The Credit Cycle [EconomPic]

    Over the last few years, youve likely heard the following competing narratives: Credit spreads are tight, a sign of exuberance among investors that are willing to overlook risk. This will end in tears. Credit spreads are tight, reflecting an environment of high economic growth and low default rates. This supports risk assets. This post will outline why both of the above comments
  • Practical TDD and numerical precision [Quant Dare]

    The Test Driven Development (TDD) philosophy improves your productivity and helps you write better code. But if you are new at it, you might find some trouble with its procedures. Lets dive into a simple example that (hopefully) will help you solve it. When applying TDD methodology, the objective is to have the most robust and reliable code. To do so, we would need to get all the tests passed,
  • SPX Near Monthly Highs With RUT Near Monthly Lows [Quantifiable Edges]

    I have spoken a fair amount lately about the split market, and how that has historically been followed by declines. But not all kinds of splits are bad. Wednesday we saw the SPX rise while the RUT closed lower. That is not unusual on a 1-day basis. But it has now been several weeks in which they have been heading in opposite directions. RUT closed in the bottom 25% of its 20-day range on

Quantocracy’s Daily Wrap for 09/19/2018

This is a summary of links featured on Quantocracy on Wednesday, 09/19/2018. To see our most recent links, visit the Quant Mashup. Read on readers!

  • Accelerating Dual Momentum [Allocate Smartly]

    This is a test of the tactical asset allocation strategy Accelerating Dual Momentum (ADM) from EngineeredPortfolio.com. ADM is especially aggressive strategy that ties together multiple concepts from other TAA models that we track. Results from 1990 to the present, net of transaction costs, follow. Read more about our backtests or let AllocateSmartly help you follow this strategy in near
  • StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) Rotation Strategy [Alvarez Quant Trading]

    My post last week on the analysis of SCTR produced lots of emails and comments with great ideas. One idea that I liked was a simple rotation strategy using SCTR. I mentioned in the post that maybe using SCTR as ranking method would produce different results. Normally I dont post this quickly but I wanted to share these new results because they give a different view of SCTR. The Test Date range: